CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-04-22T08:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-04-22T08:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/38502/-1
CME Note: Two heavily overlapping flux rope CMEs from the same source seen to the south in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. Source is two instances of significant dimming and opening field lines seen from the same location, AR 4065 (S31E10), starting at 2025-04-22T06:37Z then at 2025-04-22T07:24Z. There appears to be southern deflection in the UV imagery. Post eruptive brightening can be seen in SDO AIA 193 starting at 2025-04-22T08:13Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-04-24T06:10Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-04-24T14:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 22.25 hour(s)
Difference: -7.83 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-04-23T07:55Z
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